The watching 'vBulletin's market share nosedive' thread.

When will vB drop below 50% market share?


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MagicalAzareal

Magical Developer
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Apr 25, 2019
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https://w3techs.com/technologies/overview/content_management/all
https://www.whoishostingthis.com/compare/wordpress/stats/
The first site which comes to mind for these things is W3Tech as they have a fairly long reputation of tracking these things, although they don't give you precise numbers.

Luckily, we know how many sites Wordpress has, so we can calculate backwards off that.

Wordpress has 75 million sites and 33% of all sites.
vBulletin has x sites and 0.1% of all sites.

Let's start by dividing 75 million by 33. That's about 2.2 million per percent.
Divide that by ten and that's 220k sites.

These statistics sites tend to give varying results however, perhaps some crawlers can't find all the sites while others can find other pockets of sites. And they don't need to have millions of paying customers, if you know what I mean, although who knows, I just follow whatever statistics seem reliable.

Edit: I give up on calculating. My brain is half-asleep. Anyway. I think that methodology could get some results. I'm going to bed, good night.
 
Last edited:

zappaDPJ

Administrator
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Aug 26, 2010
Messages
7,278
The figures I've seen vary so wildly they are not worth quoting. It's one reason I like Digital Point's cookie search because it shows trends.

The only figure I've ever heard that had any credibility came from Internet Brands who claimed over 120,000 vBulletin licences sold. That was well over five years ago.
 

LeadCrow

Apocalypse Admin
Joined
Jun 29, 2008
Messages
6,578
Builtwith has a section that details its numbers in a bit more detail corroborating the general trends shown on tracking sites.

Here's vbulletin's page.. Most notably, it gives a numerical value on how many sites migrate to or away from vb, and from/to wich software. Unsurprisingly its loss is xf's greatest gain...
 

MagicalAzareal

Magical Developer
Joined
Apr 25, 2019
Messages
723
I'm sure XenForo would benefit a bit from it, particularly after the big drama where vB accidentally advertised their own competitor lol

Another thing to possibly keep an eye on is if they start raising their prices with little explanation, as that's often a sign of how healthy the market is (or they might just want more money lol).

Wow, this is becoming like divining signs from the stars lol
 
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